Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.000168 0.000186 0.000205 0.000228 0.000253 0.000280 0.000313
2025-05-11 0.000134 0.000160 0.000191 0.000229 0.000276 0.000332 0.000406
2025-05-18 0.000113 0.000142 0.000179 0.000227 0.000292 0.000374 0.000490
2025-05-25 0.000098 0.000129 0.000169 0.000226 0.000304 0.000412 0.000572
2025-06-01 0.000087 0.000118 0.000160 0.000223 0.000314 0.000444 0.000650
2025-06-08 0.000076 0.000107 0.000149 0.000215 0.000314 0.000463 0.000709
2025-06-15 0.000071 0.000102 0.000146 0.000217 0.000330 0.000505 0.000810
2025-06-22 0.000066 0.000098 0.000145 0.000222 0.000348 0.000554 0.000928
2025-06-29 0.000060 0.000091 0.000138 0.000217 0.000351 0.000577 0.001004
2025-07-06 0.000054 0.000083 0.000129 0.000208 0.000345 0.000583 0.001051
2025-07-13 0.000051 0.000080 0.000126 0.000209 0.000356 0.000621 0.001161
2025-07-20 0.000049 0.000078 0.000126 0.000212 0.000372 0.000670 0.001302
2025-07-27 0.000045 0.000074 0.000122 0.000211 0.000381 0.000707 0.001427
2025-08-03 0.000043 0.000071 0.000120 0.000213 0.000395 0.000759 0.001596
2025-08-10 0.000040 0.000068 0.000116 0.000211 0.000403 0.000798 0.001745
2025-08-17 0.000038 0.000065 0.000113 0.000210 0.000411 0.000838 0.001902
2025-08-24 0.000035 0.000061 0.000109 0.000207 0.000415 0.000871 0.002052
2025-08-31 0.000032 0.000057 0.000103 0.000200 0.000410 0.000882 0.002144
2025-09-07 0.000031 0.000056 0.000103 0.000202 0.000425 0.000943 0.002382
2025-09-14 0.000030 0.000055 0.000102 0.000206 0.000445 0.001017 0.002673
2025-09-21 0.000028 0.000052 0.000099 0.000202 0.000445 0.001041 0.002827
2025-09-28 0.000026 0.000048 0.000093 0.000193 0.000433 0.001035 0.002890
2025-10-05 0.000025 0.000047 0.000092 0.000194 0.000444 0.001091 0.003155